On October 19th, China's first "China Wind Power Development Roadmap 2050" was formally released. It is expected that by 2050, China's wind power capacity will reach 1 billion kilowatts, meeting 17% of domestic power demand. After 2020, domestic wind power prices will be lower than coal prices. Electricity prices, the current domestic wind power subsidy policy will be gradually canceled, withdrawn.

At the 2011 Beijing International Wind Energy Conference and Exhibition on the 19th, Wang Zhongying, deputy director of the Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, disclosed the relevant contents of the above road map.

According to Wang Zhongying, in the next 40 years, China's land, offshore, and offshore wind power will have varying degrees of development. By 2030-2050, the annual installed capacity will be about 30 million kilowatts, accounting for about half of the country's newly installed capacity.

The development target set by the roadmap is: By 2020, 2030 and 2050, the installed capacity of wind power in China will reach 200 million, 400 million and 1 billion kilowatts respectively, becoming one of the major power sources in China. By 2050, wind power will satisfy Domestic 17% of electricity demand.

The layout of wind power development in the future will be based on onshore wind power before 2020, and demonstration of offshore wind power will be carried out. From 2021 to 2030, onshore and offshore wind power will be developed with equal importance, and offshore wind power demonstration will be carried out; from 2031 to 2050, the eastern, central and western regions will be realized. Onshore wind power and near-distance wind power development.

It is predicted that by 2050, China's electricity consumption will reach 13 trillion kwh respectively. Under the existing wind power technology conditions, China's wind energy resources will be sufficient to support more than 1 billion kilowatts of wind power capacity.

Statistics show that in 2010, the cumulative lifting capacity and grid-connected operating capacity in China reached 41.46 million kilowatts and 31.13 million kilowatts respectively. In 2010, the nationwide wind power on-grid power was approximately 50 billion kilowatts, accounting for 1.2% of the total electricity consumption of 4.2 trillion kwh. .

“The road map is a prediction and assumption for the future development of the wind power industry and can provide good suggestions, basis and assistance for the State Development and Reform Commission and other departments to formulate plans for the development of the wind power industry,” said Han Wenke, director of the Energy Development Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission.

Since 2006, China has implemented a sub-regional fixed electricity price system for wind power, and stipulated that the on-grid electricity price of wind power is higher than the desulfurization coal-fired electricity price, which is paid by the renewable energy development fund. In addition, the distance between the wind farm and the existing transmission line is determined. A wind power grid connection subsidy standard of 0.01 yuan to 0.03 yuan/kW was determined.

Wang Zhongying believes that the current cost of onshore wind power development is around 0.35 yuan to 0.5 yuan/kWh, and the corresponding tariff level is determined to be 0.51 yuan to 0.61 yuan/kW. Under the current electricity price mechanism, the coal-fired power and environmental costs are not taken into consideration, and the wind power cost and electricity price are higher than the coal-fired power and electricity price levels in China.

However, he said that due to the inevitable increase in coal price in China, it is expected that the cost and price of wind power will be about the same as the cost and price of coal electricity by 2020. By then, wind power prices will not be taken into account without considering long-distance transmission of wind power. Will be lower than the coal price.